Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.040949 0.047926 0.055611 0.064685 0.075090 0.086629 0.100378
2025-02-16 0.028532 0.037148 0.047564 0.061015 0.077851 0.098146 0.124374
2025-02-23 0.020601 0.029549 0.041313 0.057758 0.079974 0.108737 0.148554
2025-03-02 0.015570 0.024398 0.036917 0.055700 0.082832 0.120207 0.175081
2025-03-09 0.012589 0.021364 0.034681 0.055945 0.088512 0.135830 0.208878
2025-03-16 0.009889 0.018114 0.031426 0.053966 0.090409 0.146019 0.235879
2025-03-23 0.008680 0.016994 0.031223 0.056555 0.099442 0.167637 0.282110
2025-03-30 0.007355 0.015373 0.029857 0.056920 0.104796 0.183947 0.321654
2025-04-06 0.006055 0.013502 0.027694 0.055493 0.106806 0.194870 0.353404
2025-04-13 0.005060 0.012006 0.025932 0.054451 0.109227 0.206556 0.387367
2025-04-20 0.004638 0.011609 0.026207 0.057256 0.118918 0.231713 0.446820
2025-04-27 0.004206 0.011097 0.026151 0.059362 0.127481 0.255599 0.506098
2025-05-04 0.003470 0.009735 0.024113 0.057200 0.127613 0.264300 0.539202
2025-05-11 0.002964 0.008814 0.022880 0.056551 0.130700 0.278897 0.584764
2025-05-18 0.002477 0.007820 0.021291 0.054858 0.131369 0.288817 0.622272
2025-05-25 0.002093 0.007007 0.019982 0.053583 0.132737 0.300208 0.663649
2025-06-01 0.001858 0.006561 0.019500 0.054183 0.138310 0.320708 0.725112
2025-06-08 0.001559 0.005837 0.018157 0.052444 0.138286 0.329377 0.762912
2025-06-15 0.001466 0.005745 0.018508 0.055067 0.148839 0.361809 0.853465
2025-06-22 0.001306 0.005386 0.018044 0.055476 0.154079 0.382996 0.921609
2025-06-29 0.001114 0.004860 0.016987 0.054109 0.154736 0.393909 0.968180
2025-07-06 0.000960 0.004424 0.016112 0.053105 0.156173 0.406710 1.019979
2025-07-13 0.000915 0.004397 0.016518 0.055853 0.167727 0.444256 1.130910